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Qual 172022 Heartland Regional
Red9
51895.4
48099.0
51477.4
Blue90
512613.0
173030.9
882521.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2552020406080100120990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4809
#18
9.02.0
9.5→7.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.8
End2.4
blue by 21.9
1730
#2
30.94.5
17.8→22.3
Auto5.2
Teleop20.3
End5.4
Second
5147
#17
7.42.0
11.3→9.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End2.0
blue by 14.4
8825
#9
21.84.5
16.1→20.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.1
End13.0
Third
5189
#28
5.42.0
6.5→4.5
Auto1.0
Teleop0.7
End3.7
blue by 7.7
5126
#24
13.04.5
11.6→16.1
Auto6.5
Teleop4.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed40%Hangar oddsEarned