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Qual 192022 Heartland Regional
Red22
476617.6
200111.8
59187.0
Blue105
198738.1
176314.4
452236.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36860206010012014016022105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4766
#10
17.62.0
12.6→10.6
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End3.7
blue by 20.5
1987
#6
38.13.4
28.5→31.9
Auto11.2
Teleop21.0
End5.9
Second
2001
#21
11.82.0
16.0→14.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End4.7
blue by 24.1
4522
#5
36.02.0
34.5→36.6
Auto8.8
Teleop13.4
End13.8
Third
5918
#22
7.02.0
11.2→9.2
Auto1.4
Teleop2.3
End3.3
blue by 7.4
1763
#15
14.43.4
11.4→14.8
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsMissed64%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed92%Hangar oddsEarned