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Qual 262022 Heartland Regional
Red54
512613.0
241014.6
639110.4
Blue65
882521.8
200111.8
176426.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446120801001205465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2410
#19
14.60.8
10.8→11.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End3.9
blue by 11.9
1764
#8
26.51.1
20.7→21.8
Auto11.0
Teleop7.0
End8.5
Second
5126
#24
13.00.8
16.4→17.2
Auto6.5
Teleop4.1
End2.4
blue by 8.7
8825
#9
21.81.1
20.3→21.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.1
End13.0
Third
6391
#14
10.40.8
16.0→16.7
Auto4.5
Teleop3.0
End2.9
blue by 1.4
2001
#21
11.81.1
14.4→15.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed38%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsMissed56%Hangar oddsEarned