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Red84
173030.9
19945.1
176426.5
Blue65
24573.4
512613.0
198738.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59603040507080908465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.93.0
25.528.4
Auto5.2
Teleop20.3
End5.4
blue by 7.2
38.10.9
38.639.5
Auto11.2
Teleop21.0
End5.9
Second
26.53.0
23.025.9
Auto11.0
Teleop7.0
End8.5
red by 13.4
5126
#24
13.00.9
14.115.0
Auto6.5
Teleop4.1
End2.4
Third
1994
#23
5.13.0
7.110.0
Auto1.7
Teleop3.5
End-0.1
red by 1.7
2457
#26
3.40.9
3.84.7
Auto1.0
Teleop0.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
56%Cargo oddsEarned42%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsEarned35%Hangar oddsMissed