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Red69
59187.0
476617.6
501329.9
Blue14
50989.7
256011.4
639110.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583720801006914

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.91.4
26.828.1
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End9.8
red by 18.5
2560
#20
11.42.5
12.19.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End4.3
Second
4766
#10
17.61.4
15.917.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.1
End3.7
red by 7.2
6391
#14
10.42.5
16.614.2
Auto4.5
Teleop3.0
End2.9
Third
5918
#22
7.01.4
9.210.5
Auto1.4
Teleop2.3
End3.3
blue by 2.7
5098
#25
9.72.5
9.06.5
Auto2.4
Teleop5.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsEarned11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsEarned37%Hangar oddsMissed