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Red52
17754.5
182710.5
452236.0
Blue15
19945.1
200111.8
526812.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions633502040805215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.2
35.735.5
Auto8.8
Teleop13.4
End13.8
red by 23.8
5268
#13
12.22.0
12.310.3
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End5.4
Second
1827
#12
10.50.3
12.111.8
Auto4.3
Teleop3.0
End3.2
blue by 1.3
2001
#21
11.82.0
13.711.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End4.7
Third
1775
#27
4.50.3
7.47.1
Auto4.3
Teleop-0.7
End0.9
blue by 0.6
1994
#23
5.12.0
10.08.0
Auto1.7
Teleop3.5
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
54%Cargo oddsEarned15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsMissed