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Qual 462022 Heartland Regional
Red60
318430.4
51895.4
512613.0
Blue69
526812.2
501329.9
432917.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4867204060801006069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#4
30.40.3
28.7→28.4
Auto7.1
Teleop12.3
End11.0
red by 0.6
5013
#3
29.90.8
31.1→31.9
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End9.8
Second
5126
#24
13.00.3
14.7→14.4
Auto6.5
Teleop4.1
End2.4
blue by 4.5
4329
#11DQ
17.50.8
19.1→19.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.4
End5.5
Third
5189
#28
5.40.3
3.7→3.4
Auto1.0
Teleop0.7
End3.7
blue by 6.8
5268
#13
12.20.8
10.3→11.1
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsMissed83%Hangar oddsEarned