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Red96
452236.0
170632.9
93515.6
Blue42
501329.9
512613.0
17754.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9248204060801001201409642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.5
34.434.9
Auto8.8
Teleop13.4
End13.8
red by 6.1
29.90.7
31.931.1
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End9.8
Second
32.90.5
31.431.9
Auto10.8
Teleop18.2
End3.9
red by 19.9
5126
#24
13.00.7
13.813.1
Auto6.5
Teleop4.1
End2.4
Third
935
#16
15.60.5
15.115.6
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End5.1
red by 11.0
1775
#27
4.50.7
5.44.7
Auto4.3
Teleop-0.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
83%Hangar oddsEarned34%Hangar oddsMissed