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Red30
256011.4
51895.4
526812.2
Blue75
176426.5
511921.1
639110.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2364040801003075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5268
#13
12.20.2
12.012.2
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End5.4
blue by 14.3
26.51.5
25.927.4
Auto11.0
Teleop7.0
End8.5
Second
2560
#20
11.40.2
9.810.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End4.3
blue by 9.8
21.11.5
19.821.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.9
End5.0
Third
5189
#28
5.40.2
5.15.4
Auto1.0
Teleop0.7
End3.7
blue by 5.0
6391
#14
10.41.5
8.910.4
Auto4.5
Teleop3.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed54%Hangar oddsEarned