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Red84
452236.0
173030.9
256011.4
Blue44
176426.5
501329.9
51477.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846640601001208444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.2
35.335.5
Auto8.8
Teleop13.4
End13.8
red by 6.1
29.90.4
29.929.5
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End9.8
Second
30.90.2
30.230.4
Auto5.2
Teleop20.3
End5.4
red by 4.4
26.50.4
26.526.1
Auto11.0
Teleop7.0
End8.5
Third
2560
#20
11.40.2
10.710.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.9
End4.3
red by 4.0
5147
#17
7.40.4
7.47.0
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End2.0