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Red82
219015.6
303931.2
45619.0
Blue70
709417.2
299244.4
76616.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5847020801001201401608270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.21.7
21.323.0
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End5.1
blue by 13.1
44.40.9
29.430.2
Auto11.8
Teleop22.1
End10.5
Second
456
#18
19.01.7
17.719.4
Auto7.0
Teleop8.9
End3.1
red by 1.8
7094
#17
17.21.4
9.410.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.6
End5.2
Third
2190
#19
15.61.7
13.815.5
Auto4.0
Teleop9.6
End2.0
red by 9.6
7661
#40
6.01.4
6.47.8
Auto1.6
Teleop2.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
59%Cargo oddsEarned43%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsMissed