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Red11
78343.6
191212.3
586310.4
Blue21
57855.0
20782.7
709417.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272601020304050601121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1912
#25
12.30.9
6.25.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End3.4
blue by 4.9
7094
#17
17.21.7
10.89.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.6
End5.2
Second
5863
#31
10.40.9
11.610.7
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End5.2
red by 5.5
5785
#34
5.01.7
8.46.7
Auto1.8
Teleop2.4
End0.7
Third
7834
#36Sur
3.61.6
7.25.7
Auto0.7
Teleop0.7
End2.2
red by 1.0
2078
#33
2.71.7
5.43.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop2.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed