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Red32
361619.6
20782.7
597110.9
Blue84
17954.7
375313.6
435513.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308202040601001201403284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#20
19.61.9
18.316.4
Auto6.2
Teleop7.8
End5.6
blue by 35.1
179
#1
54.70.9
47.648.5
Auto16.4
Teleop25.4
End12.8
Second
5971
#16
10.92.5
7.95.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End3.7
blue by 2.9
4355
#24
13.81.1
13.814.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End4.7
Third
2078
#33
2.72.5
8.66.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop2.5
End0.4
blue by 10.9
3753
#14
13.61.5
9.210.7
Auto1.6
Teleop5.8
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed52%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed65%Hangar oddsEarned