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Red38
433619.5
360614.1
218313.5
Blue70
375313.6
346813.8
23324.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445002060801003870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#11
19.50.3
17.317.0
Auto6.6
Teleop6.2
End6.7
blue by 4.8
233
#9
24.31.5
18.620.1
Auto7.6
Teleop13.1
End3.6
Second
3606
#28
14.10.4
12.011.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.9
End2.4
red by 0.3
3468
#22
13.82.2
13.816.0
Auto3.3
Teleop6.4
End4.1
Third
2183
#32
13.50.3
12.712.4
Auto5.3
Teleop3.8
End4.5
Level
3753
#14
13.62.2
13.415.7
Auto1.6
Teleop5.8
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsEarned