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Red74
36442.1
76616.0
49788.9
Blue14
181811.0
20782.7
433619.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603102040801007414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#3
42.11.2
36.437.5
Auto10.2
Teleop23.9
End8.0
red by 22.6
4336
#11
19.51.2
16.715.5
Auto6.6
Teleop6.2
End6.7
Second
4978
#27
8.92.0
8.610.6
Auto1.7
Teleop5.6
End1.5
blue by 2.1
1818
#37
11.02.1
13.611.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End2.2
Third
7661
#40
6.02.0
7.49.3
Auto1.6
Teleop2.2
End2.3
red by 3.3
2078
#33
2.72.1
2.30.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop2.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
48%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed