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Red99
303931.2
750021.5
142129.1
Blue8
59654.9
597110.9
181811.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98220406080120140160998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.21.1
29.030.1
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End5.1
red by 20.3
1818
#37
11.02.5
11.59.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End2.2
Second
29.11.1
27.828.9
Auto7.4
Teleop10.4
End11.3
red by 18.2
5971
#16
10.92.5
9.57.0
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End3.7
Third
7500
#10
21.51.1
25.726.8
Auto5.9
Teleop9.6
End6.0
red by 16.6
5965
#41
4.92.5
9.67.1
Auto1.2
Teleop1.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
70%Cargo oddsEarned19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed