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Red46
393221.3
586310.4
49788.9
Blue71
408723.6
606816.3
45619.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4256020801004671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3932
#12
21.30.5
22.021.5
Auto6.0
Teleop5.9
End9.4
blue by 2.3
23.61.3
19.821.1
Auto6.7
Teleop11.9
End5.0
Second
5863
#31
10.40.5
9.99.5
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End5.2
blue by 8.6
456
#18
19.01.3
17.919.3
Auto7.0
Teleop8.9
End3.1
Third
4978
#27
8.90.7
9.18.4
Auto1.7
Teleop5.6
End1.5
blue by 7.4
6068
#15
16.32.1
13.415.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed70%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsEarned