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Red62
84182.2
804432.0
49788.9
Blue25
360614.1
435513.8
346813.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4848304060706225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.3
30.330.6
Auto11.3
Teleop18.6
End2.0
red by 17.9
3606
#28
14.12.1
13.911.9
Auto4.7
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Second
4978
#27
8.90.6
8.69.1
Auto1.7
Teleop5.6
End1.5
blue by 4.9
4355
#24
13.81.3
16.315.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End4.7
Third
8418
#35
2.20.5
6.06.5
Auto1.5
Teleop1.3
End-0.6
blue by 11.6
3468
#22
13.82.1
14.812.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
56%Cargo oddsEarned25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsMissed