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Red33
20782.7
78343.6
303931.2
Blue41
597110.9
873218.7
750021.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4158020801003341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.8
31.831.1
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End5.1
red by 9.7
7500
#10
21.50.8
25.224.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.6
End6.0
Second
7834
#36
3.61.2
3.62.4
Auto0.7
Teleop0.7
End2.2
blue by 15.1
8732
#21
18.70.8
17.316.5
Auto5.2
Teleop12.5
End1.0
Third
2078
#33
2.71.2
5.13.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop2.5
End0.4
blue by 8.3
5971
#16
10.91.2
9.98.7
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsMissed