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Red52
375313.6
811819.5
20782.7
Blue4
49788.9
57855.0
20807.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44170406080524

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8118
#13
19.50.6
17.718.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End9.3
red by 10.6
4978
#27
8.91.5
8.46.9
Auto1.7
Teleop5.6
End1.5
Second
3753
#14
13.60.6
16.216.8
Auto1.6
Teleop5.8
End6.2
red by 6.4
2080
#38
7.11.0
7.56.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.3
End1.0
Third
2078
#33
2.70.6
3.94.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop2.5
End0.4
blue by 2.3
5785
#34
5.01.5
3.52.0
Auto1.8
Teleop2.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
37%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned14%Hangar oddsMissed