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Red55
375313.6
303931.2
20807.1
Blue74
811819.5
393221.3
433619.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576202040801001201405574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.2
31.130.8
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End5.1
red by 10.0
3932
#12
21.31.1
20.321.4
Auto6.0
Teleop5.9
End9.4
Second
3753
#14
13.60.3
16.816.5
Auto1.6
Teleop5.8
End6.2
blue by 5.9
8118
#13
19.51.5
18.319.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End9.3
Third
2080
#38
7.10.2
6.56.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.3
End1.0
blue by 12.3
4336
#11
19.51.1
18.719.8
Auto6.6
Teleop6.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsMissed75%Hangar oddsEarned