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Red70
99988.8
299246.8
99925.6
Blue39
218310.6
433620.7
804425.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60710501001507039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.80.1
44.744.6
Auto10.8
Teleop25.5
End10.3
red by 21.0
25.81.7
32.030.2
Auto10.5
Teleop12.5
End2.7
Second
8.80.1
13.313.2
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End2.3
blue by 11.9
20.71.7
19.517.7
Auto7.4
Teleop6.9
End6.4
Third
9992
#16
5.60.1
13.313.2
Auto4.0
Teleop0.6
End1.4
blue by 4.9
2183
#13
10.61.7
13.511.8
Auto4.1
Teleop2.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo oddsEarned59%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed56%Hangar oddsMissed