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Red38
99925.6
99918.0
36442.0
Blue41
191211.3
303924.0
709413.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665102040801001201401603841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#2
42.01.7
42.941.2
Auto11.9
Teleop20.1
End9.8
red by 18.1
3039
#10
24.00.5
26.225.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.2
End2.9
Second
9991
#11
8.02.8
12.79.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.1
End2.2
blue by 5.5
7094
#12
13.50.5
12.411.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End4.3
Third
9992
#16
5.62.8
7.85.0
Auto4.0
Teleop0.6
End1.4
blue by 5.7
11.30.5
9.59.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
70%Cargo oddsMissed34%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsEarned38%Hangar oddsEarned