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Red50
36442.0
346813.0
218310.6
Blue35
99895.8
99918.0
804425.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions753002040601001201401605035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#2
42.00.9
41.240.3
Auto11.9
Teleop20.1
End9.8
red by 16.3
25.80.4
25.224.8
Auto10.5
Teleop12.5
End2.7
Second
13.00.9
10.29.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End3.1
red by 5.0
9991
#11
8.00.6
9.99.2
Auto4.1
Teleop2.1
End2.2
Third
2183
#13
10.60.9
11.610.7
Auto4.1
Teleop2.4
End4.0
red by 4.8
9989
#14
5.80.6
5.65.0
Auto3.3
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
65%Cargo oddsMissed29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed