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Red59
433620.7
811823.0
303924.0
Blue52
36442.0
709413.5
804425.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631020501502005952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#10
24.00.2
27.026.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.2
End2.9
blue by 18.1
364
#2
42.02.5
43.941.4
Auto11.9
Teleop20.1
End9.8
Second
23.00.2
17.817.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.9
End11.3
blue by 2.8
25.82.5
28.025.5
Auto10.5
Teleop12.5
End2.7
Third
20.70.2
17.717.5
Auto7.4
Teleop6.9
End6.4
red by 7.1
7094
#12
13.52.5
17.915.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsMissed98%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsEarned64%Hangar oddsEarned