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Red115
271322.7
632839.2
740754.7
Blue116
176829.5
59628.1
346743.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13179050100150200115116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.70.0
54.754.7
Auto16.1
Teleop25.6
End13.1
red by 11.8
43.00.0
43.043.0
Auto10.3
Teleop19.5
End13.2
Second
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto12.1
Teleop17.6
End9.6
red by 9.7
1768
#30
29.50.0
29.529.5
Auto8.6
Teleop13.3
End7.6
Third
2713
#24
22.70.0
22.722.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.6
End3.2
red by 14.6
5962
#31
8.10.0
8.18.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End1.0