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Red64
6927.7
545918.9
147417.8
Blue69
404825.6
573526.0
264821.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67800501001502006469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69
#10
27.70.0
27.727.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.0
End11.0
red by 1.7
5735
#18
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto8.7
Teleop8.9
End8.4
Second
5459
#20
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.8
End4.7
blue by 6.7
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto9.4
Teleop6.5
End9.7
Third
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.2
End4.1
blue by 3.8
2648
#21
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto6.8
Teleop11.3
End3.6