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Red112
9541.8
568730.7
242314.4
Blue69
192214.9
573523.0
50113.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1004720608012014016011269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#4
41.80.5
41.842.3
Auto11.3
Teleop18.8
End11.7
red by 18.8
5735
#10
23.00.3
22.723.0
Auto6.3
Teleop10.3
End6.5
Second
30.70.5
30.831.2
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End10.8
red by 15.8
1922
#16
14.90.3
14.614.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Third
2423
#26
14.40.5
14.515.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End3.9
red by 0.5
501
#20
13.90.3
13.613.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End2.7