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Red51
15114.0
620120.5
431117.1
Blue49
767416.3
242314.4
287727.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375920801005149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6201
#12
20.50.4
17.217.6
Auto6.5
Teleop4.1
End9.8
blue by 7.4
2877
#13
27.90.3
25.925.7
Auto8.1
Teleop9.4
End10.3
Second
17.10.4
11.311.6
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End3.8
red by 0.8
7674
#18
16.30.4
13.813.4
Auto5.0
Teleop4.8
End6.5
Third
151
#15
14.00.4
9.29.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.8
End5.0
blue by 0.4
2423
#26
14.40.3
13.112.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsEarned