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Red42
176111.3
192214.9
242314.4
Blue29
332314.8
862614.9
50113.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36220103040506070804229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1922
#16
14.90.7
9.610.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Level
8626
#17
14.94.4
13.38.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End5.1
Second
2423
#26
14.40.7
12.212.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End3.9
blue by 0.4
3323
#23
14.80.7
7.48.1
Auto2.4
Teleop6.7
End5.7
Third
1761
#22
11.30.7
10.210.9
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End2.7
blue by 2.7
501
#20
13.90.4
6.87.2
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed