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Red57
568730.7
693326.1
196510.8
Blue35
782210.6
242314.4
636710.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583102040801005735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.1
22.322.4
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End10.8
red by 16.3
2423
#26
14.40.1
12.813.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End3.9
Second
26.10.1
17.918.1
Auto10.4
Teleop12.3
End3.4
red by 15.5
7822
#25
10.60.1
10.410.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.4
End2.1
Third
1965
#27
10.80.1
10.710.8
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End4.2
red by 0.8
6367
#29
10.00.2
9.69.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed