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Red28
636710.0
977.6
176111.3
Blue59
767416.3
573523.0
575210.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29470204060801002859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1761
#22
11.30.4
11.511.1
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End2.7
blue by 11.7
5735
#10
23.01.2
22.924.1
Auto6.3
Teleop10.3
End6.5
Second
6367
#29
10.00.6
9.99.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End1.5
blue by 6.3
7674
#18
16.31.9
13.415.4
Auto5.0
Teleop4.8
End6.5
Third
97
#30
7.60.4
8.27.8
Auto3.5
Teleop0.5
End3.6
blue by 2.6
5752
#31
10.21.2
5.36.5
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed41%Hangar oddsEarned