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Red40
862614.9
500015.2
767416.3
Blue76
192214.9
175713.1
693326.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393920305060704076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7674
#18
16.30.3
15.515.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.8
End6.5
blue by 9.8
26.12.6
18.120.7
Auto10.4
Teleop12.3
End3.4
Second
5000
#21
15.20.3
11.812.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.0
End4.6
red by 0.3
1922
#16
14.92.6
11.113.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Third
8626
#17
14.90.3
9.710.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End5.1
red by 1.8
1757
#24
13.14.4
7.511.9
Auto2.0
Teleop7.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsMissed