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Red72
693326.1
500015.2
242314.4
Blue102
12552.1
287727.9
175713.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39100020608012014016072102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.11.9
21.223.1
Auto10.4
Teleop12.3
End3.4
blue by 26.0
125
#1
52.11.1
49.550.6
Auto13.1
Teleop26.8
End12.2
Second
5000
#21
15.22.7
12.415.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.0
End4.6
blue by 12.7
2877
#13
27.91.1
25.326.3
Auto8.1
Teleop9.4
End10.3
Third
2423
#26
14.41.9
10.512.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End3.9
red by 1.3
1757
#24
13.11.6
11.012.5
Auto2.0
Teleop7.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsEarned80%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed72%Hangar oddsEarned