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Red59
490926.9
176111.3
767416.3
Blue63
620120.5
977.6
147419.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584502040801005963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.4
24.825.2
Auto7.2
Teleop12.6
End7.1
red by 6.4
6201
#12
20.50.7
20.721.5
Auto6.5
Teleop4.1
End9.8
Second
7674
#18
16.30.6
16.016.6
Auto5.0
Teleop4.8
End6.5
blue by 3.5
1474
#14
19.80.7
17.117.9
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End5.5
Third
1761
#22
11.30.4
11.912.4
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End2.7
red by 3.7
97
#30
7.60.7
6.06.7
Auto3.5
Teleop0.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsEarned19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsMissed58%Hangar oddsEarned