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Red50
287727.9
65295.2
782210.6
Blue30
977.6
672311.1
332314.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49340204060801005030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#13
27.90.1
27.827.7
Auto8.1
Teleop9.4
End10.3
red by 13.1
3323
#23
14.80.3
14.914.6
Auto2.4
Teleop6.7
End5.7
Second
7822
#25
10.60.1
10.710.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.4
End2.1
blue by 0.5
6723
#35
11.10.3
11.311.1
Auto4.1
Teleop3.4
End3.5
Third
6529
#32
5.20.1
5.35.2
Auto2.4
Teleop1.3
End1.6
blue by 2.4
97
#30
7.60.3
7.97.6
Auto3.5
Teleop0.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsEarned