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Red68
9541.8
568730.7
242314.4
Blue69
287727.9
490926.9
20848.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions996140801201401606869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#4
41.80.5
42.341.8
Auto11.3
Teleop18.8
End11.7
red by 13.9
2877
#13
27.90.1
27.827.9
Auto8.1
Teleop9.4
End10.3
Second
30.70.5
31.230.7
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End10.8
red by 3.8
26.90.1
26.826.9
Auto7.2
Teleop12.6
End7.1
Third
2423
#26
14.40.5
15.014.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End3.9
red by 6.4
2084
#33
8.00.1
7.98.0
Auto1.9
Teleop4.1
End2.0