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Red31
84109.6
77604.2
105819.8
Blue49
511214.0
409713.0
416914.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3232102040503149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#29
19.80.1
14.614.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.9
End7.2
red by 5.4
4169
#28
14.40.7
10.210.9
Auto1.9
Teleop1.6
End10.9
Second
8410
#35
9.60.1
7.77.8
Auto2.1
Teleop2.8
End4.6
blue by 4.4
5112
#24
14.00.8
10.511.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End3.3
Third
7760
#37
4.20.1
7.57.7
Auto1.6
Teleop0.2
End2.4
blue by 8.8
4097
#12
13.00.7
9.29.9
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsEarned44%Hangar oddsEarned