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Red65
854417.9
7825.6
346121.9
Blue61
115333.7
271217.7
320515.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575640506070806561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#7
25.60.8
23.424.2
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End7.7
blue by 8.0
33.70.5
29.129.7
Auto6.4
Teleop16.5
End10.8
Second
3461
#17
21.90.8
17.318.1
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End7.6
red by 4.1
2712
#16
17.70.5
13.814.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.2
End5.4
Third
8544
#18
17.91.4
12.113.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End5.0
red by 2.8
3205
#32
15.10.9
10.010.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsEarned51%Hangar oddsEarned