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Red75
226223.9
105819.8
872426.3
Blue85
287610.3
7825.6
346738.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627820401001207585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.2
24.124.3
Auto10.6
Teleop11.4
End4.4
blue by 12.2
38.50.7
36.837.5
Auto7.9
Teleop16.1
End14.5
Second
2262
#11
23.90.2
22.722.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End12.4
blue by 1.7
78
#7
25.60.7
24.224.9
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End7.7
Third
1058
#29
19.80.2
13.313.5
Auto5.8
Teleop6.9
End7.2
red by 9.5
2876
#33
10.30.7
10.210.8
Auto5.5
Teleop3.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
62%Cargo oddsMissed37%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsMissed67%Hangar oddsEarned