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Red71
870918.1
19014.0
115333.7
Blue53
226223.9
81113.0
271217.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7052204060801001207153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.5
32.132.6
Auto6.4
Teleop16.5
End10.8
red by 9.8
2262
#11
23.90.1
23.723.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End12.4
Second
18.10.5
17.417.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End6.7
red by 0.4
2712
#16
17.70.1
15.916.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.2
End5.4
Third
190
#27
14.00.5
13.914.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End2.7
red by 1.0
811
#21
13.00.1
11.912.0
Auto3.2
Teleop4.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned79%Hangar oddsEarned