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Red34
176827.9
320515.1
84109.6
Blue90
271217.7
23042.1
173512.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385502060803490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.3
19.919.6
Auto6.1
Teleop13.5
End8.3
blue by 14.3
230
#1
42.12.7
27.229.8
Auto14.0
Teleop16.8
End11.3
Second
3205
#32
15.10.5
10.19.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End4.7
blue by 2.7
2712
#16
17.72.7
12.715.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.2
End5.4
Third
8410
#35
9.67.0
14.77.7
Auto2.1
Teleop2.8
End4.6
blue by 3.3
1735
#25
12.94.5
10.014.5
Auto5.1
Teleop2.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed58%Hangar oddsEarned