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Red86
176827.9
346738.5
173512.9
Blue43
287610.3
115333.7
206723.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions827402040601001201401608643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.50.4
36.036.4
Auto7.9
Teleop16.1
End14.5
red by 4.9
33.71.8
33.231.4
Auto6.4
Teleop16.5
End10.8
Second
27.90.4
26.226.6
Auto6.1
Teleop13.5
End8.3
red by 4.3
2067
#10
23.61.8
24.022.2
Auto7.3
Teleop8.8
End7.4
Third
1735
#25
12.90.5
13.414.0
Auto5.1
Teleop2.9
End4.8
red by 2.6
2876
#33
10.31.8
13.011.2
Auto5.5
Teleop3.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
66%Cargo oddsMissed26%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
88%Hangar oddsEarned66%Hangar oddsMissed