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Red79
71619.0
206723.6
226223.9
Blue57
216843.5
40348.4
81113.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5354405060707957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2262
#11
23.91.4
21.723.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End12.4
blue by 19.5
43.50.5
37.037.4
Auto11.1
Teleop21.9
End10.5
Second
2067
#10
23.61.4
12.914.2
Auto7.3
Teleop8.8
End7.4
red by 10.6
811
#21
13.00.5
5.56.0
Auto3.2
Teleop4.0
End5.8
Third
716
#9
19.01.4
15.717.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.8
End4.5
red by 10.6
4034
#36
8.40.8
7.68.4
Auto3.8
Teleop3.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsEarned23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsEarned44%Hangar oddsEarned