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Red110
115333.7
346738.5
320515.1
Blue62
7825.6
872426.3
13821.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9578406010012014011062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.50.5
38.438.9
Auto7.9
Teleop16.1
End14.5
red by 12.2
26.30.3
26.926.6
Auto10.6
Teleop11.4
End4.4
Second
33.70.5
33.634.1
Auto6.4
Teleop16.5
End10.8
red by 8.0
78
#7
25.60.3
26.225.9
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End7.7
Third
3205
#32
15.10.6
14.915.5
Auto4.1
Teleop6.3
End4.7
blue by 6.5
138
#14
21.60.3
22.221.8
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End11.3