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Red283
353857.1
3350.4
88325.3
Blue256
15288.7
842419.1
365519.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13121050100150200250283256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.12.0
55.957.9
Auto12.6
Teleop32.3
End12.2
red by 37.2
3655
#14
19.94.9
15.119.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.8
End4.7
Second
33
#3
50.42.0
49.251.2
Auto12.9
Teleop25.7
End11.8
red by 31.2
8424
#12
19.14.9
14.319.1
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End5.2
Third
8832
#19
5.32.0
4.16.1
Auto3.1
Teleop1.3
End0.9
blue by 3.4
1528
#21
8.74.9
3.98.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.7
End0.2