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Red46
283425.9
833221.0
88325.3
Blue97
24015.5
353857.1
360415.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5478020401001201404697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.5
23.422.9
Auto9.5
Teleop13.0
End3.5
blue by 31.2
57.11.8
48.950.7
Auto12.6
Teleop32.3
End12.2
Second
8332
#16
21.00.5
27.426.9
Auto2.1
Teleop10.1
End8.8
red by 5.1
15.91.8
10.512.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End4.4
Third
8832
#19
5.30.5
2.82.3
Auto3.1
Teleop1.3
End0.9
blue by 10.2
240
#6
15.51.8
10.912.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
60%Cargo oddsMissed85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed52%Hangar oddsEarned