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Red24
99986.5
364126.7
833221.0
Blue54
365519.9
283425.9
842419.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6243020801001202454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#15
26.72.3
27.024.7
Auto9.1
Teleop14.0
End3.6
red by 0.8
25.90.8
21.722.4
Auto9.5
Teleop13.0
End3.5
Second
8332
#16
21.02.3
26.724.4
Auto2.1
Teleop10.1
End8.8
red by 1.1
3655
#14
19.90.8
12.513.3
Auto5.5
Teleop9.8
End4.7
Third
9998
#18
6.53.8
4.70.8
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End1.3
blue by 12.6
8424
#12
19.10.8
8.29.0
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsMissed50%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed