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Red44
413023.9
612010.3
833221.0
Blue88
50341.9
360415.9
872816.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6869405060804488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.91.3
28.727.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.5
End7.1
blue by 18.1
503
#5
41.91.6
36.538.0
Auto13.0
Teleop18.8
End10.1
Second
8332
#16
21.01.3
24.423.1
Auto2.1
Teleop10.1
End8.8
red by 4.4
8728
#11
16.61.6
15.717.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.8
End3.4
Third
6120
#13
10.31.3
10.39.0
Auto2.9
Teleop6.3
End1.1
blue by 5.6
15.91.6
12.413.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
83%Cargo oddsMissed71%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsMissed69%Hangar oddsEarned