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Red79
842419.1
83013.5
50341.9
Blue121
353857.1
872816.6
283425.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6210520408012014016018079121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#5
41.90.5
37.938.4
Auto13.0
Teleop18.8
End10.1
blue by 15.2
57.11.3
53.054.3
Auto12.6
Teleop32.3
End12.2
Second
8424
#12
19.10.5
10.110.6
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End5.2
blue by 6.7
25.91.3
23.324.7
Auto9.5
Teleop13.0
End3.5
Third
830
#10
13.50.5
15.215.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End1.1
blue by 3.1
8728
#11
16.61.3
16.618.0
Auto5.4
Teleop7.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
76%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsMissed55%Hangar oddsEarned